Key Drivers of Economic Growth in Developing Countries: A Comparative Study of Turkey and Bangladesh
发展中国家经济增长的关键驱动因素:土耳其与孟加拉国的比较研究
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.65967/siss.v44i2.133Keywords:
Economic growth, population growth, inflation, literacy rate, natural resource, foreign direct investmentAbstract
This study examines the dynamic relationship between gross domestic product (GDP) growth and key macroeconomic indicators in Turkey and Bangladesh using panel data from the World Bank covering the period 1981–2020. The analysis focuses on population growth, inflation, literacy rate, natural resource utilization, investment, and foreign direct investment (FDI) to uncover their causal links with GDP growth. Employing the Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality test, the results reveal statistically significant causal relationships between GDP growth and the selected macroeconomic variables, with population growth emerging as the most influential determinant. The findings provide important insights into the distinct economic structures of the two emerging economies and offer policy-relevant implications for fostering sustainable and inclusive growth. Overall, the study contributes to the literature on economic development by highlighting the critical role of macroeconomic fundamentals in shaping long-term growth trajectories in emerging economies such as Turkey and Bangladesh.
Downloads
References
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., & Robinson, J. A. (2005). Institutions as a fundamental cause of long-run growth. In P. Aghion & S. Durlauf (Eds.). Handbook of Economic Growth, 1, 385–472.
Ahmed, R., & Hossain, T. (2023). The significance of early entrepreneurship education in Bangladesh: An investigation on Innokids as a case study. Daffodil International University Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship, 16(1), 106-134.http:// dspace. daffo dilva rsity. edu. bd: 8080/ bitst ream/ handle/ 12345 6789/ 10810/ Paper% 206. pdf? seque nce= 1& isAll owed=y
Akyuz, Y. (2019). The Turkish economy in the 2000s: Policies, performance, and prospects. International Development Economics Associates.
Alam, S., Repon, M., & Rupa, R. A. (2023). An analysis of Indian commercial dynamism in international trade. Daffodil International University Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship, 16(1), 179200.http:// dspace. daffo dilva rsity. edu. bd: 8080/ bitst ream/ handle/ 12345 6789/ 10794/ Paper% 209. pdf? seque nce= 1& isAll owed=y
Ali, E. B., Shayanmehr, S., Radmehr, R., Amfo, B., Awuni, J. A., Gyamfi, B. A., & Agbozo, E. (2023). Exploring the impact of economic growth on environmental pollution in South American countries: How does renewable energy and globalization matter? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30, 15505–15522. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1007/ s11356- 022- 23177-4
Anaripour, J. T. (2011). Study on the relationship between interest rate and economic growth by Eviews (2004–2010, Iran). Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, 1(11), 2346–2352.
Attari, M. I. J., & Javed, A. Y. (2013). Inflation, economic growth and government expenditure of Pakistan: 1980–2010. Procedia Economics and Finance, 5(13), 58–67. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1016/ s2212- 5671(13) 00010-5
Ayyoub, M., Chaudhry, I. S., & Farooq, F. (2011). does inflation affect economic growth? The case of Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences (PJSS), 31(1), 51–64.
Babu, T. (2022). Civil service system and personnel management of Bangladesh. Ukrainian Policymaker, 11, 10–18. https:// doi. org/ 10. 29202/ up/ 11/2
Baharumshah, A. Z., Slesman, L., & Wohar, M. E. (2016). Inflation, inflation uncertainty, and economic growth in emerging and developing countries: Panel data evidence. Economic Systems, 40(4), 638– 657. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1016/j. ecosys. 2016. 02. 009
Asian Development Bank. (2020). Bangladesh: Priorities for sustainable development. Asian Development Bank. https:// www. adb. org/ sites/ defau lt/ files/ insti tutio nal- docum ent/ 358591/ cobp- ban- 2018- 2020. pdf. Accessed 02 March 2024.
Bazaluk, O., Rahman, M. A., Zayed, N. M., Faisal-E-Alam, M., Nitesenko, V., & Kucher, L. (2024). Crowdsourcing review: The crowd workers’ perspective. Journal of Industrial and Business Economics., 51(1), 1–20. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1007/ s40812- 023- 00295-9
Bazaluk, O., Yatsenko, O., Reznikova, N., Bibla, I., Karasova, N., & Nitsenko, V. (2022). International integration processes influence on welfare of country. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 23(2), 382–398. https:// doi. org/ 10. 3846/ jbem. 2022. 16228
Ben Slimane, S., & M’Henni, H. (2021). Entrepreneurship and development: Realities and future prospects, smart innovation, London, ISTE/Wiley, 172 p. Journal of Innovation Economics & Management, 36(3), 173–178. https:// doi. org/ 10. 3917/ jie. 036. 0173
Bilgili, F., & Ozturk, I. (2015). Biomass energy and economic growth nexus in G7 countries: Evidence from dynamic panel data. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 49, 132–138. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1016/j. rser. 2015. 04. 098
Bloom, D. E., Canning, D., & Sevilla, J. (2014). Economic growth and the demographic transition. National Bureau of Economic Research. https:// www. nber. org/ system/ files/ worki ng_ papers/ w8685/ w8685. pdf. Accessed 02 March 2024.
Bloom, N., Liang, J., Roberts, J., & Ying, Z. J. (2015). Does working from home work? Evidence from a Chinese Experiment, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, 130(1), 165–218. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1093/ qje/ qju032
Brynjolfsson, E., & McAfee, A. (2014). The second machine age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. W. W. Norton & Company. Accessed 22 February 2024
Canning, D., & Bloom, D. E. (2008). Population health and economic growth. World Bank. https:// docum ents1. world bank. org/ curat ed/ en/ 59949 14681 51504 321/ pdf/ 47588 0NWP0 REPL1 01PUB LIC10 gcwp0 24web. pdf. Accessed 22 February 2022
Chan, Y. P. (2001). Democracy or bust? Harvard International Review, 23(3), 36. Gale Academic OneFile, link.gale.com/apps/doc/A79899497/AONE?u=anon~641bb02&sid=googleScholar&xid=fd4bbf4f
Colakoğlu, S. (2019). Turkey-Bangladesh relations: A growing partnership between two friendly nations. https:// www. mei. edu/ publi catio ns/ turkey- bangl adesh- relat ions- growi ng- partn ership- betwe en- two- frien dly- natio ns
Currie, J. (2009). Healthy, wealthy, and wise: Socioeconomic status, poor health in childhood, and human capital development. Journal of economIc lIteratUre, 47(1), 87–122.
Dumitrescu, E.-I., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460.
Eggoh, J., Houeninvo, H., & Sossou, G. A. (2015). Education, health and economic growth in African countries. Journal of Economic Development, 40(1), 93. http:// www. jed. or. kr/ full- text/ 40-1/ 4. pdf. Accessed 22 February 2022
Eichengreen, B., Park, D., & Shin, K. (2018). The landscape of economic growth: Do middle-income countries differ? Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 54(4), 836–858. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1080/ 15404 96X. 2017. 14194 27
Elahi, S. M. (2021). Labor market dynamics in Bangladesh and impact of Covid-19. The Financial Express. https:// thefi nanci alexp ress. com. bd/ views/ labour- market- dynam ics- in- bangl adesh- and- impact- of- covid- 19- 16286 99234
El-Ghannam, A. R. (2002). The determinants of social well-being, economic development, and development index in the third-world countries. Perspectives on Global Development and Technology, 1(I), 51–69.
El-Gharmam, M. A. (2002). Infrastructure and development: A critical appraisal of the macro-level literature. Oxford Development Studies, 30(1), 7–21.
European Training Foundation. (2011). Flexicurity analysis of the labor market in Turkey, Agnieszka Majcher-Teleon and Ummuhan Bardak. ETF. Accessed 22 February 2022
FDI in Turkey hits $14.2B in 2021 to exceed pre-pandemic levels. (2022). Daily Sabah. https:// www. daily sabah. com/ busin ess/ econo my/ fdi- in- turkey- hits- 142b- in- 2021- to- exceed- pre- pande mic- levels. Accessed 22 February 2022.
FDI in Turkey (2022). Presidency of the Republic of Turkiye Investment Office. https:// www. invest. gov. tr/ en/ whytu rkey/ pages/ fdi- in- turkey. aspx. Accessed 22 February 2022.
Bangladesh Foreign Direct Investment. (2022). Forecast. Trading Economics. https:// tradi ngeco nomics. com/ bangl adesh/ forei gn- direct- inves tment. Accessed 22 February 2022
Greenaway, D., Morgan, W., & Wright, P. (2002). Trade liberalization and growth in developing countries. Journal of Development Economics, 67(1), 229–244.
Groth, C. (2010). Lecture notes in macroeconomics. Chapter 7. “The Ramsey model”. https:// web. econ. ku. dk/ okocg/ VV/ VV- 2010/ Lectu re% 20not es/ Ch7- 2010-1. pdf
Haider, A. (2021). Why is foreign direct investment so low in Bangladesh and how to increase it? The Daily Star. https:// www. theda ilyst ar. net/ views/ opini on/ news/ why- forei gn- direct- inves tment- so- low- bangl adesh- and- how- incre ase- it- 21581 51. Accessed 23 February 2023.
Hania, U., & Anis, F. (2023). The gratification of banking customers during the COVID-19 pandemic period: An empirical study. Daffodil International University Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship, 16(1), 21–36.http:// dspace. daffo dilva rsity. edu. bd: 8080/ bitst ream/ handle/ 12345 6789/ 10809/ Paper% 202.... pdf? seque nce= 1& isAll owed=y
Hanushek, E. A., & Woessmann, L. (2015). The knowledge capital of nations: Education and the economics of growth. MIT Press. Accessed 22 February 2022
Hutorov, A., Lupenko, Y., Zakharchuk, O., Hutorova, O., & Dorokhov, O. (2020). Inclusive development of the Ukrainian economy. TEM Journal, 9(1), 296–303. https:// doi. org/ 10. 18421/ tem91- 41
Imbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (2015). Causal inference for statistics, social, and biomedical sciences: An introduction. Cambridge University Press. Accessed 22 February 2022
Ingham, H. (2013). Economic and Political Determinants of the Effects of FDI on Growth in Transition and Developing Countries, 44, 347–362. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1002/ tie
Islam, N. (2020). Turkey, Asia anew and South Asia: A comparative assessment on bilateral relations and soft power policy with Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. TURAN-SAM, 12(47), 379–398 Accessed 22 February 2024
Islam, M.R., Suraiya, S., Zayed, N.M., Hasan, K.B.M.R., Bipasha, M.S., & Nitsenko, V. (2021). Assessing the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the government revenues: a study on individual taxpayers of Bangladesh. Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, 5, 154–159. https:// doi. org/ 10. 33271/ nvngu/ 2021-5/ 154
Jakob, B. (2015). Impact of exchange rate regimes on economic growth. Undergraduate Economic Review, 12(1), 1–22. https:// digit alcom mons. iwu. edu/ cgi/ viewc ontent. cgi? artic le= 1350& cont ext=uer
Jim-Suleiman, S. L., & Adeyele, J. S. (2023). The roles of funding gaps and life expectancy in retirement income adequacy. Daffodil International University Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship, 16(1), 37-57.http:// dspace. daffo dilva rsity. edu. bd: 8080/ bitst ream/ handle/ 12345 6789/ 10795/ Paper-3. pdf? seque nce= 1& isAll owed=y
Kader, S., Mumu, F. E., Hasan, K. B. M. R., Kamruzzaman, M., & Zayed, N. M. (2020). Determinants and stability of money supply in Bangladesh: An empirical investigation. International Journal of Management, 11(6), 1365–1374.http:// www. iaeme. com/ Maste rAdmin/ Journ al_ uploa ds/ IJM/ VOLUME_ 11_ ISSUE_6/ IJM_ 11_ 06_ 125. pdf
Kader, S. A., Zayed, N. M., Faisal-E-Alam, M., Salah Uddin, M., Nitsenko, V., & Klius, Y. (2022). Factors affecting demand and supply in the housing market: A study on three major cities in Turkey. Computation, 10, 196. https:// doi. org/ 10. 3390/ compu tatio n1011 0196
Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2011). The worldwide governance indicators: Methodology and analytical issues. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, #5430. Accessed 22 February 2022
Kibria, U., Arshad, M. U., Kamran, M., Mehmood, Y., Imdad, S., Sajid, M. (2014). Exploring the impact of macro economic variables on the GDP of Pakistan. Research Journal of Management Sciences, 3(9), 1–6. Accessed 22 February 2022
Mamo, F.T. (2012). Economic growth and inflation: A panel data analysis. Unpublished Master Thesis, Södertörns University. Sweden, 1–44. http:// www. divap ortal. org/ smash/ get/ diva2: 576024/ FULLT EXT01. pdf
Mauro, P. (1998). Corruption and the composition of government expenditure, Journal of Public Economics, 69(2). ISSN, 263–279, 0047–2727. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1016/ S0047- 2727(98) 00025-5
Mia, M. M., Shamsudin, M. F., Zayed N. M., Mirzoieva, T. V., Shtuler, I. Yu. & Bogma, O. S. (2023). Crowdsourcing for business strategy and sustainability: A partial least square structural equation model. Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, 3, 184–193. https:// doi. org/ 10. 33271/ nvngu/ 2023-3/ 184
Mollah, M. A. S., Hossan, M. A., & Yoon, K. (2022). Determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs): A study on private commercial banks in Bangladesh. Daffodil International University Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship, 15(2), 50–63.http:// dspace. daffo dilva rsity. edu. bd: 8080/ bitst ream/ handle/ 12345 6789/ 9304/ Paper-4% 2012- 11- 2022% 20% 281% 29. pdf? seque nce= 1& isAll owed=y
Mulska, O., Vasyltsiv, T., Shushkova, Y., Kloba, L., & Parfenyuk, Y. (2022). Assessment of the population’s social resilience environment (the case of the Carpathian region of Ukraine). Problems and Perspectives in Management, 20(1), 407–421. https:// doi. org/ 10. 21511/ ppm. 20(1). 2022. 33
Nourzad, F. (2002). Financial development and productive efficiency: A panel study of developed and developing countries. Journal of Economics and Finance, 26(2), 138–149.
Oetomo, B. S. D., & Santoso, S. (2023). The role of digital social media in the formation of attitudes towards green products among information literate youth. European Journal of Management Issues, 31(3), 189–195. https:// doi. org/ 10. 15421/ 192316
Omelchuk, O. M., Haiur, I. Y., Kozytska, O. G., Prysiazhna, A. V., & Khmelevska, N. V. (2022). Analysis of the activities of law enforcement authorities in the field of combating crime and corruption offences. Journal of Money Launde Ring Control, 25(3), 700–716. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1108/ JMLC- 07- 2021- 0073
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). (2018a). Education at a glance 2018: OECD indicators. OECD Publishing, Paris,. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1787/ eag- 2018- en
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). (2018b). OECD economic surveys: Turkey 2018. OECD Publishing.
Pesaran, M. H. (2006). Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure. Econometrica, 74(4), 967–1012. https:// www. jstor. org/ stable/ 38059 14
Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics. 22, 265-312. https:// onlin elibr ary. wiley. com/ doi/ epdf/ 10. 1002/ jae. 951
Peterson, E. W. F. (2017). The role of population in economic growth. SAGE Open, 7(4). https:// doi. org/ 10. 1177/ 21582 44017 736094
Petrova, M., Koval, V., Tepavicharova, M., Zerkal, A., Radchenko, A., & Bondarchuk, N. (2020). The interaction between the human resources motivation and the commitment to the organization. Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues, 9(3), 897–907. https:// doi. org/ 10. 9770/ jssi. 2020.9. 3(15) Prahalad, C. K., & Hammond, A. (2002). Serving the world’s poor, profitably. Harvard Business Review, 80(9), 48–59.
Rahman, A., & Zaman, M. H. (2016). Economic growth of Bangladesh: A macroeconomic analysis. Journal of Business and Technology (dhaka), 11(2), 31–52.
Rajan, R. (2019). The third pillar: How markets and the state leave the community behind. Penguin Press.
Rodrik, D. (2018). New technologies, global value chains, and developing economies. In G. Gereffi, K. Fernandez-Stark, & G. Psaki (Eds.), The World Bank and the Globalisation of Finance (pp. 241– 254). Routledge.
Romer, D. (1996). Advanced macroeconomics. University of California.
Sakun, AZh., Perevozova, I. V., Kartashova, O. H., Prystemskyi, O. S., & Mokhnenko, A. S. (2021). Innovative paradigm of management accounting and development of controlling in the entrepreneurship. Universal Journal of Accounting and Finance, 9(4), 548–564. https:// doi. org/ 10. 13189/ ujaf. 2021. 090403
Semenets-Orlova, I., Rodchenko, L., Chernenko, I., Druz, O., Rudenko, M., & Poliuliakh, R. (2022b). Requests for public information in the state administration in situations of military operations. Anuario De La Facultad De Derecho. Universidad De Extremadura, 38, 249–270. https:// doi. org/ 10. 17398/ 2695- 7728. 38. 249
Semenets-Orlova, I., Shevchuk, R., Plish, B., Moshnin, A., Chmyr, Y., & Poliuliakh, R. (2022a). Humancentered approach in new development tendencies of value-oriented public administration: Potential of education. Economic Affairs, 67(5), 889–906. https:// doi. org/ 10. 46852/ 0424- 2513.5. 2022. 25
Semuel, H., & Nurina, S. (2015). Analysis of the effect of inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates on gross domestic product (GDP) in Indonesia. Proceedings of the International Conference on Global Business, Economics, Finance and Social Sciences (GB15_Thai Conference), Bangkok, Thailand, 20–22 February 2015 Paper ID: T507, 1–13. https:// www. sciep ub. com/ refer ence/ 179460 Sen, A. (2019). Development as freedom. Oxford University Press.
Stiglitz, J. E. (2007). Making globalization work. W. W. Norton & Company.
Svyrydenko, D., Amarathunga, B., Wijethunga, S., & Riznyk, V. (2023). The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on labor market perspectives for management undergraduates: New models of employability capital development. Economics. Ecology. Socium, 7, 35–45. https:// doi. org/ 10. 31520/ 2616- 7107/ 2023.7. 1-4
Tapsin, G., & Hepsag, A. (2014). An analysis of household consumption expenditures in Ea-18. European Scientific Journal, 10(16), 1–12. Accessed 22 February 2022.
Teague, G. M. (2021). Turkey’s labor market policy 2020: Success or Failure? https:// socia lprot ection. org/ disco ver/ blog/ turkey% E2% 80% 99s- labor- market- policy- 2020- succe ss- or- failu re
Turkey Foreign Direct Investment. (2022). Trading economics. https:// tradi ngeco nomics. com/ turkey/ forei gn- direct- inves tment. Accessed 22 February 2022.
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). (2019). World investment report 2019: Special economic zones. https:// unctad. org/ system/ files/ offic ial- docum ent/ wir20 19_ en. pdf. Accessed 22 February 2022
United Nations Development Programme. (2020). Human development report 2020: The next frontier, human development and the Anthropocene. https:// hdr. undp. org/ system/ files/ docum ents/ hdr20 20. pdf. Accessed 22 February 2022
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). (2020). World investment report. https:// unctad. org/ system/ files/ offic ial- docum ent/ wir20 20_ en. pdf. Accessed 22 February 2023
Watts, M. (2002a). Poverty reduction and economic governance: Policy lessons from a diverse set of experiences. World Bank.
Watts, P. (2002b). Better Governance for Sustainable Business. Observer, 234, 16–17.
Wooldridge, J. M. (2010). Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. MIT Press.
World Bank. (2018). World development report 2018: Learning to realize education’s promise. https:// openk nowle dge. world bank. org/ bitst ream/ handle/ 10986/ 28340/ 97814 64810 961. pdf. Accessed 22 February 2022
World Bank. (2022). Annual Report. https:// docum ents1. world bank. org/ curat ed/ en/ 09943 74020 12317 995/ pdf/ IDU00 fd540 93061 a7047 5b0a3 b50dd 7e6cd fe147. pdf
Yeon, J. I., Lee, J. D., & Baek, C. (2021). A tale of two technological capabilities: Economic growth revisited from a technological capability transition perspective. The Journal of Technology Transfer, 46, 574–605. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1007/ s10961- 020- 09809-2
Yuldashev, O. K., Khomiachenko, S. I., & Yuldashev, S. O. (2022). Organizational and Legal model of competency-based education as a means of the transition to innovative economy. Danube, 13(2), 107–118. https:// doi. org/ 10. 2478/ danb- 2022- 0007
Zayed, N. M., Mohamed, I. S., Islam, K. M. A., Perevozova, I., Nitsenko, V., & Morozova, O. (2022). Factors influencing the financial situation and management of small and medium enterprises. J. Risk Financial Manag., 15(12), 554. https:// doi. org/ 10. 3390/ jrfm1 51205 54
Zeynalli, L., & Rahimli, E. (2022). The role of human capital in increasing tourism potential in a postconflict situation. Future Human Image, 17, 101–110. https:// doi. org/ 10. 29202/ fhi/ 17/ 12
Zhao, J., & Brychko, A. (2023). Management of the behaviour of the company’s personnel based on corporate culture. Economics. Ecology. Socium, 7, 65–76. https:// doi. org/ 10. 31520/ 2616- 7107/ 2023.7. 3-6
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Studies in Science of Science

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.


